Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 164.994411 191.769540 222.937901 262.254862 311.031653 370.229938 4.485600e+02
2025-06-15 131.735660 165.699621 209.659193 272.103493 360.883409 486.463380 6.851483e+02
2025-06-22 106.164747 139.894497 186.426358 257.642485 368.405411 542.709625 8.577970e+02
2025-06-29 92.333564 126.279027 175.596421 255.933581 390.988628 625.025584 1.105599e+03
2025-07-06 82.362335 116.133151 167.353613 255.346584 413.734438 713.455054 1.409302e+03
2025-07-13 78.210301 113.797141 170.244620 272.873236 472.007030 888.680514 2.010984e+03
2025-07-20 75.215842 112.670890 174.629366 293.579159 542.193128 1119.315256 2.950645e+03
2025-07-27 69.935004 107.050319 170.413332 297.242761 578.315335 1288.699810 3.890000e+03
2025-08-03 66.061398 103.257685 168.742313 305.363937 626.729651 1515.160889 5.336606e+03
2025-08-10 61.695334 98.081265 163.768888 305.610441 656.573814 1706.411863 6.958222e+03
2025-08-17 58.354250 94.337190 160.943063 309.856138 698.077023 1961.294174 9.469228e+03
2025-08-24 54.880730 89.984317 156.357399 309.258247 726.589531 2192.268585 1.249535e+04
2025-08-31 50.785129 84.454342 149.491027 303.955371 746.143406 2431.756038 1.681855e+04
2025-09-07 48.622840 82.399350 149.547152 315.814035 824.609799 3010.123492 2.853079e+04
2025-09-14 44.239204 75.612470 138.803221 298.303651 801.921682 3094.733241 3.477736e+04
2025-09-21 41.584632 71.960594 134.320450 296.238219 832.034117 3500.354144 5.249238e+04
2025-09-28 39.313060 68.848811 130.618457 295.528949 867.507428 3994.954400 8.419556e+04
2025-10-05 38.744368 69.111586 134.467724 316.745781 998.698980 5366.949141 2.280703e+05
2025-10-12 38.364947 69.715275 139.184876 341.913183 1164.420398 7481.480411 9.641076e+05
2025-10-19 36.792416 67.636862 137.252478 346.377311 1241.267280 9044.693483 3.633620e+06
2025-10-26 35.625537 66.322226 137.010631 356.284686 1353.053245 11474.798396 4.832703e+07
2025-11-02 34.075606 64.031778 134.055192 356.585656 1416.359004 13598.645071 3.510539e+10
2025-11-09 32.868803 62.402557 132.592015 361.771741 1512.803212 16878.225712 NaN